Noisy Information and Investment Decisions: A Note

9 Pages Posted: 8 Aug 1998

See all articles by Laurent Gauthier

Laurent Gauthier

University of Lorraine - CEREFIGE Research Center

Erwan Morellec

Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne; Swiss Finance Institute

Date Written: June 1997

Abstract

This paper analyses investment decisions under uncertainty with noisy information. We provide closed-form solutions for the value of the investment policy and the optimal investment threshold. We show that when the information about the decision variable is noisy, the real option values generated by the model are close to that observed in reality. Noise is modelled with a mean-reverting stationnary process.

JEL Classification: G31

Suggested Citation

Gauthier, Laurent and Morellec, Erwan, Noisy Information and Investment Decisions: A Note (June 1997). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=113189 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.113189

Laurent Gauthier (Contact Author)

University of Lorraine - CEREFIGE Research Center ( email )

13 rue Michel Ney
Nancy, 54000
France

Erwan Morellec

Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne ( email )

College of Management
Extranef Quartier UNIL-Dorigny
1015 Lausanne, CH-1015
Switzerland

HOME PAGE: http://sfi.epfl.ch/

Swiss Finance Institute

c/o University of Geneva
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

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