The Relative Contributions of Private Information Sharing and Public Information Releases to Information Aggregation

39 Pages Posted: 1 May 2009

See all articles by Darrell Duffie

Darrell Duffie

Stanford University - Graduate School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Canadian Derivatives Institute

Semyon Malamud

Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); Swiss Finance Institute

Gustavo Manso

University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business

Abstract

We calculate learning rates when agents are informed through both public and private observation of other agents' actions. We provide an explicit solution for the evolution of the distribution of posterior beliefs. When the private learning channel is present, we show that convergence of the distribution of beliefs to the perfect-information limit is exponential at a rate equal to the sum of the mean arrival rate of public information and the mean rate at which individual agents are randomly matched with other agents. If, however, there is no private information sharing, then convergence is exponential at a rate strictly lower than the mean arrival rate of public information.

Keywords: information percolation, search, learning rates

Suggested Citation

Duffie, James Darrell and Malamud, Semyon and Manso, Gustavo, The Relative Contributions of Private Information Sharing and Public Information Releases to Information Aggregation. Stanford University Graduate School of Business Research Paper No. 2023, Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University Working Paper No. 51, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 09-33, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1397693 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1397693

James Darrell Duffie (Contact Author)

Stanford University - Graduate School of Business ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Canadian Derivatives Institute ( email )

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Semyon Malamud

Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne ( email )

Lausanne, 1015
Switzerland

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

Swiss Finance Institute

c/o University of Geneva
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CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

Gustavo Manso

University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business ( email )

545 Student Services Building, #1900
2220 Piedmont Avenue
Berkeley, CA 94720
United States

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