Sectoral Business Cycle Synchronization in the European Union

Economics Bulletin, Vol. 29, No. 4, pp. 2996-3014, 2009

Posted: 7 Dec 2009

See all articles by António Afonso

António Afonso

University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management); UECE (Research Unit on Complexity and Economics); ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa; REM - Research in Economics and Mathematics

Davide Furceri

University of Palermo; Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD)

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Date Written: December 6, 2009

Abstract

This paper analyses sectoral business cycle synchronization in an enlarged European Union using annual data for the period 1980-2005. In particular, we try to identify which sector for each country is driving the aggregate output business cycle synchronization. Overall, the sectors that provide the most relevant contribution are Industry, Building and Construction, and Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry. In contrast, the Services sector, the largest one in terms of valued added share, shows a relative low business cycle synchronization and volatility, contributing only marginally to the aggregate output business cycle synchronization.

Keywords: EMU Enlargement, Stabilisation, Synchronization, Sectoral Business Cycle

JEL Classification: E32, F15, F41, F42

Suggested Citation

Afonso, António and Furceri, Davide, Sectoral Business Cycle Synchronization in the European Union (December 6, 2009). Economics Bulletin, Vol. 29, No. 4, pp. 2996-3014, 2009, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1519790

António Afonso (Contact Author)

University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) ( email )

R. Miguel Lupi, 20
Lisbon, 1248-078
Portugal
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+351 21 396 6407 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.iseg.ulisboa.pt/aquila/homepage/aafonso/research

UECE (Research Unit on Complexity and Economics) ( email )

Rua Miguel Lupi 20
Lisbon, 1249-078
Portugal
+351-213 925 912 (Phone)
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HOME PAGE: http://uece.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/

ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa ( email )

Rua do Quelhas 6
LISBOA, 1200-781
Portugal

REM - Research in Economics and Mathematics ( email )

ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa
Rua Miguel Lupi, 20
Lisboa, 1249-078
Portugal

HOME PAGE: http://rem.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/

Davide Furceri

University of Palermo ( email )

Viale delle Scienza
Palermo, Palermo 90128
Italy

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) ( email )

2 rue Andre Pascal
Paris Cedex 16, 75775
France

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