Multivariate Heavy-Tailed Models for Value-at-Risk Estimation

Abstract

For purposes of Value-at-Risk estimation, we consider three multivariate families of heavy-tailed distributions, which can be seen as multidimensional versions of Paretian stable and Student's t distributions allowing different marginals to have different tail thickness. After a discussion of relevant estimation and simulation issues, we conduct a backtesting study on a set of portfolios containing derivative instruments, using historical US stock price data.