How Streetcars Shaped Suburbanization: A Granger Causality Analysis of Land Use and Transit in the Twin Cities
Journal of Economic Geography, Vol. 10, pp. 453-470, 2009
18 Pages Posted: 6 Jan 2011 Last revised: 23 Dec 2013
There are 2 versions of this paper
How Streetcars Shaped Suburbanization: A Granger Causality Analysis of Land Use and Transit in the Twin Cities
How Streetcars Shaped Suburbanization: A Granger Causality Analysis of Land Use and Transit in the Twin Cities
Date Written: August 23, 2008
Abstract
This article presents a Granger causality analysis of the coupled development of population and streetcars in the Twin Cities of Minneapolis and St Paul Historic residence and network data were assembled for 1900-1930, and linear crosssectional time-series models were estimated at both a tract and block level using these data. It is found that, in contrast with transportation systems that were expanded in response to increased demand, the rapid expansion of the streetcar system during the electric era has been driven by other forces and to a large extent led land development in the Twin Cities. The main forces that have driven this process include technological superiority, monopoly, close connections with real estate business and people’s reliance on the streetcar for mobility. Proximity to the streetcar is found to be a crucial factor that determines the distribution and development of residences: it is observed that residential density declines with the distance from streetcar lines, and significantly drops beyond a walkable distance; it is also observed that gaining a closer access to streetcar lines within 800m (about a half mile) predicts the increase in residential density to a significant extent.
Keywords: transit, land use, suburbanization, Granger Causality, Twin Cities
JEL Classification: N92, R20, R40
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
The Weakest Link: A Model of the Decline of Surface Transportation Networks
By Feng Xie and David Matthew Levinson
-
Topological Evolution of Surface Transportation Networks
By Feng Xie and David Matthew Levinson
-
The Co-Evolution of Land Use and Road Networks
By David Matthew Levinson, Feng Xie, ...
-
Modeling the Growth of Transportation Networks: A Comprehensive Review
By Feng Xie and David Matthew Levinson
-
Evolution of the Second-Story City: The Minneapolis Skyway System
By Michael J. Corbett, Feng Xie, ...
-
Jurisdictional Control and Network Growth
By Feng Xie and David Matthew Levinson
-
Models of Transportation and Land Use Change: A Guide to the Territory
By Mike Iacono, David Matthew Levinson, ...
-
Why Retailers Cluster: An Agent Model of Location Choice on Supply Chains