Social Forecasting and Future

47 Pages Posted: 2 May 2011 Last revised: 7 Jun 2017

See all articles by Prabhakar Krishnamurthy

Prabhakar Krishnamurthy

Central University of Jammu; Humanistic Management Network; IIIT (D&M); Anna University

Date Written: November 11, 2010

Abstract

On a broader plank, Can future be forecasted? The answer is not affirmative. If there is something known or defined as ‘the future’ then it can be attempted. The word future is a relational term it can be discussed as the future of something. Is it possible to forecast results? The answer is more not affirmative. Forecasts can specify the constraints or limits within which decisions can be effective. Forecasting has different modes. Social forecasting differs from other modes in its scope and techniques. The most important distinction is study of sociological variables that are independent or exogenous and least precise, which affect the behaviour of other variables. In the present paper, an attempt is made to use social forecasting methodology to find what is likely future.

Keywords: Social Forecasting, Future, Sociological Variables

JEL Classification: A12, Z10

Suggested Citation

Krishnamurthy, Prabhakar, Social Forecasting and Future (November 11, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1825622 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1825622

Prabhakar Krishnamurthy (Contact Author)

Central University of Jammu ( email )

Bagla
Samba
Jammu, Jammu and Kashmir 181143
India
08082197957 (Phone)

Humanistic Management Network ( email )

St. Gallen
Switzerland

IIIT (D&M)

IIT Campus
Chennai, Tamil Nadu 600036
India

HOME PAGE: http://www.iiitdm.iitm.ac.in

Anna University

Chennai, Tamilnadu, Tamilnadu 600025
India

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