The Mother of All Sudden Stops: Capital Flows and Reversals in Europe, 1919-32

53 Pages Posted: 25 Oct 2013 Last revised: 3 Jul 2022

See all articles by Olivier Accominotti

Olivier Accominotti

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Barry Eichengreen

University of California, Berkeley; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Date Written: October 2013

Abstract

We present new data documenting European capital issues in major financial centers from 1919 to 1932. Push factors (conditions in international capital markets) perform better than pull factors (conditions in the borrowing countries) in explaining the surge and reversal in capital flows. In particular, the sharp increase in stock market volatility in the major financial centers at the end of the 1920s figured importantly in the decline in foreign lending. We draw parallels with Europe today.

Suggested Citation

Accominotti, Olivier and Eichengreen, Barry, The Mother of All Sudden Stops: Capital Flows and Reversals in Europe, 1919-32 (October 2013). NBER Working Paper No. w19580, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2345074

Olivier Accominotti (Contact Author)

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) ( email )

Economic History Department
Houghton Street
London, WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

Barry Eichengreen

University of California, Berkeley ( email )

310 Barrows Hall
Berkeley, CA 94720
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

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