A Nonparametric View of the Role of Jumps to Interest Rates
55 Pages Posted: 10 Nov 2000
Date Written: July 15, 2000
Abstract
This paper provides an empirical analysis of the role of jumps in continuous-time models of the short rate. A diagnostic is developed to relate the failure of single and certain multi-factor models to the presence of unaccounted for jump-type movements. I introduce a nonparametric jump-diffusion model and develop an estimation methodology, which is justified using Monte Carlo simulations. The results point toward a dominant role for jumps in determining the dynamics of the short rate relative to standard diffusion components. An approximate filtering algorithm estimates jump times and sizes, providing further insight into the role of jumps. Jumps appear to be a mechanism through which fundamental information regarding the state of the macroeconomy enters the term-structure. Last, I investigate the implications of jumps for the default free, zero coupon term structure of interest rates.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
Specification Analysis of Affine Term Structure Models
By Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton
-
Specification Analysis of Affine Term Structure Models
By Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton
-
By Andrew Ang and Monika Piazzesi
-
By Andrew Ang and Monika Piazzesi
-
By John H. Cochrane and Monika Piazzesi
-
Expectation Puzzles, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure
By Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton
-
Expectation Puzzles, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure
By Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton
-
Expectation Puzzles, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure
By Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton
-
Expectation Puzzles, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure
By Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton