Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models

56 Pages Posted: 25 Aug 2014 Last revised: 24 Mar 2023

See all articles by Lars Peter Hansen

Lars Peter Hansen

University of Chicago - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Date Written: August 2014

Abstract

We must infer what the future situation would be without our interference, and what changes will be wrought by our actions. Fortunately, or unfortunately, none of these processes is infallible, or indeed ever accurate and complete. Knight (1921)

Suggested Citation

Hansen, Lars Peter, Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models (August 2014). NBER Working Paper No. w20394, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2486344

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