Public Information Arrival and Volatility of Intraday Stock Returns

Posted: 26 Jun 2003 Last revised: 14 Feb 2014

See all articles by Petko S. Kalev

Petko S. Kalev

RoZetta Institute; La Trobe Business School

Wai-Man Liu

Australian National University

Peter K. Pham

University of Sydney Business School; Institute of Global Finance, UNSW Business School; Financial Research Network (FIRN)

Elvis Jarnecic

The University of Sydney; Financial Research Network (FIRN)

Date Written: December 19, 2002

Abstract

This study employs firm-specific announcements as a proxy for information flows and investigates the information-volatility relation using high-frequency data from the Australian Stock Exchange. Our analysis reveals a positive and significant impact of the arrival rate of the selected news variable on the conditional variance of stock returns, even after controlling for the potential effects of trading volume and high opening volatility. Furthermore, the inclusion of the news variable in the conditional variance equation of the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic model also reduces volatility persistence, especially with intraday data. Combined with the evidence that news arrivals display a very strong pattern of autocorrelation, our results are consistent with the Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis, which attributes conditional heteroscedasticity of stock returns to time-dependence in the news arrival process.

Keywords: ARCH, Public Information Arrival, Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis, Trading Volume, Volatility Persistence

JEL Classification: G14

Suggested Citation

Kalev, Petko S. and Liu, Wai-Man and Pham, Peter Kien and Jarnecic, Elvis, Public Information Arrival and Volatility of Intraday Stock Returns (December 19, 2002). Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 28, 2004, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=407760 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.407760

Petko S. Kalev (Contact Author)

RoZetta Institute ( email )

Sydney

La Trobe Business School ( email )

Department of Economics and Finance
Donald Whitehead Building: Level 3, DWB313
Bundoora, Victoria 3086
Australia
+613 9479 6285 (Phone)
+613 9479 1654 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.latrobe.edu.au/business/about/staff/profile?uname=PKalev

Wai-Man Liu

Australian National University ( email )

Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 2601
Australia

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.cbe.anu.edu.au/about/staff-directory/?profile=Wai-Man%20(Raymond)-Liu

Peter Kien Pham

University of Sydney Business School ( email )

Cnr. of Codrington and Rose Streets
Sydney, NSW 2006
Australia
+61 2 9036 9103 (Phone)
+61 2 9351 6461 (Fax)

Institute of Global Finance, UNSW Business School ( email )

UNSW Business School
High St
Sydney, NSW 2052
Australia

Financial Research Network (FIRN) ( email )

C/- University of Queensland Business School
St Lucia, 4071 Brisbane
Queensland
Australia

HOME PAGE: http://www.firn.org.au

Elvis Jarnecic

The University of Sydney ( email )

University of Sydney
Sydney, NSW 2006
Australia

Financial Research Network (FIRN)

C/- University of Queensland Business School
St Lucia, 4071 Brisbane
Queensland
Australia

HOME PAGE: http://www.firn.org.au

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