Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: The Role of Revenue Surprises and Earnings Persistence

39 Pages Posted: 14 Jul 2003

See all articles by Joshua Livnat

Joshua Livnat

New York University; Prudential Financial - Quantitative Management Associates

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: June 12, 2003

Abstract

This study explores an additional factor that is associated with differential levels of the post-earnings-announcement drift (henceforth drift) - the contemporaneous surprise in revenues. Consistent with prior evidence about greater persistence of revenues and greater noise caused by heterogeneity of expenses, this study shows that the earnings drift is stronger when the revenue surprise is in the same direction as the earnings surprise. Moreover, the study provides direct evidence that the drift is stronger when the earnings persistence is greater. The results are robust to various controls, including the proportions of stock held by institutional investors, trading liquidity, and arbitrage risk.

Keywords: revenue forecasts, revenue surprises, post-earnings announcement drift, persistence

JEL Classification: M41, G14, G32

Suggested Citation

Livnat, Joshua, Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: The Role of Revenue Surprises and Earnings Persistence (June 12, 2003). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=416302 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.416302

Joshua Livnat (Contact Author)

New York University ( email )

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Prudential Financial - Quantitative Management Associates ( email )

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