Economic Transition and Growth

60 Pages Posted: 11 Jun 2005

See all articles by Peter C. B. Phillips

Peter C. B. Phillips

University of Auckland Business School; Yale University - Cowles Foundation; Singapore Management University - School of Economics

Donggyu Sul

Independent

Date Written: May 2005

Abstract

Some extensions of neoclassical growth models are discussed that allow for cross section heterogeneity among economies and evolution in rates of technological progress over time. The models offer a spectrum of transitional behavior among economies that includes convergence to a common steady state path as well as various forms of transitional divergence and convergence. Mechanisms for modeling such transitions and measuring them econometrically are developed in the paper. A new regression test of convergence is proposed, its asymptotic properties are derived and some simulations of its finite sample properties are reported. Transition curves for individual economies and subgroups of economies are estimated in a series of empirical applications of the methods to regional US data, OECD data and Penn World Table data.

Keywords: Economic growth, Growth convergence, Heterogeneity, Neoclassical growth, Relative transition, Transition curve, Transitional divergence.

JEL Classification: 030, 040, C33

Suggested Citation

Phillips, Peter C. B. and Sul, Donggyu, Economic Transition and Growth (May 2005). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=740404

Peter C. B. Phillips (Contact Author)

University of Auckland Business School ( email )

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Yale University - Cowles Foundation ( email )

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Singapore Management University - School of Economics

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Donggyu Sul

Independent