Aids, "Reversal" of the Demographic Transition and Economic Development: Evidence from Africa
35 Pages Posted: 23 May 2006 Last revised: 15 Oct 2022
Date Written: May 2006
Abstract
Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985-2000. Results differ depending on the variation used and the estimation method. Between estimates that exploit cross-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off time-series variation show both positive and negative results depending on the HIV/AIDS variable used. These within estimates are insignificant in most of the specifications.
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