Aids, "Reversal" of the Demographic Transition and Economic Development: Evidence from Africa

35 Pages Posted: 23 May 2006 Last revised: 15 Oct 2022

See all articles by Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

University of Maryland - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Koc University, Graduate School of Business

Date Written: May 2006

Abstract

Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985-2000. Results differ depending on the variation used and the estimation method. Between estimates that exploit cross-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off time-series variation show both positive and negative results depending on the HIV/AIDS variable used. These within estimates are insignificant in most of the specifications.

Suggested Citation

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem, Aids, "Reversal" of the Demographic Transition and Economic Development: Evidence from Africa (May 2006). NBER Working Paper No. w12181, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=900087

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan (Contact Author)

University of Maryland - Department of Economics ( email )

College Park, MD 20742
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Koc University, Graduate School of Business ( email )

Rumelifeneri Yolu
34450 Sar?yer
Istanbul, 34450
Turkey

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