The Effects of the Ageing European Population on Economic Growth and Budgets: Implications for Immigration and Other Policies
17 Pages Posted: 7 Dec 2006 Last revised: 26 Oct 2022
Date Written: December 2006
Abstract
The ageing of the population presents a major fiscal challenge for the countries of Europe. The combination of increased longevity and a reduced birth rate will directly reduce the growth rates of the European economies by slowing the growth of the capital stock and by weakening the productivity of the labor force. This slower growth of GDP means a smaller tax base and less tax revenue. In addition, the current tax-financed systems of social pensions and health care will require substantial increases in the already high tax rates. The analysis in this paper shows that the common prescription of increased immigration would do little to reduce the future fiscal burden. The increased revenue from a large rise in immigration would finance only a small part of the coming rise in the cost of pension and health benefits. The only alternative to significantly higher tax rates or substantially lower retirement income is to shift from a pure tax-financed system to a mixed system that supplements the tax financed benefits with benefits based on increased saving financial investment.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
The Political Economy of Social Security
By Georges Casamatta, Helmuth Gremer, ...
-
The Aging of the Population and the Size of the Welfare State
By Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, ...
-
The Aging Population and the Size of the Welfare State
By Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, ...
-
Social Security, Retirement, and the Single-Mindedness of the Electorate
-
Social Security, Retirement, and the Single-Mindedness of the Electorate
-
The Ageing Population and the Size of the Welfare State
By Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, ...