Wilhelm-Epstein-Str. 14
Frankfurt/Main, 60431
Germany
Deutsche Bundesbank
SSRN RANKINGS
in Total Papers Citations
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Excess returns, expectations survey, predictability
shadow rate, effective lower bound, trend real rate, monetary policy shocks, bayesian time series
Bayesian Econometrics, Effective Lower Bound, Shadow Rate, State-Space Model, Term Structure of Interest Rates
Inflation, professional forecasters, sticky information, particle filter, Bayesian estimation, Markov chain Monte Carlo, stochastic volatility, time-varying persistence
Inflation, Unobserved Components, Professional Forecasts, Sticky Information, Stochastic Volatility, Time-Varying Parameters, Bayesian, Particle Filter
inflation; unobserved components;professional forecasts; sticky information; stochastic volatility; time-varying parameters; Bayesian; particle filter
Trend cycle model, inflation target, stochastic volatility, surveys, bayesian econometrics
Bayesian VARs, stochastic volatility, outliers, pandemics, forecasts
stochastic volatility, survey forecasts, fan charts
Stochastic volatility, survey forecasts, prediction
Stochastic Volatility, Survey Forecasts, Fan Charts
macroeconomic forecasting, effective lower bound, term structure, censored observations
Limited information; rational expectations; signal extraction; belief shocks
Vector Error Correction Model, long-run restrictions, news shocks
Optimal monetary policy, discretion, time-consistent policy, Markov-perfect equilibrium, incomplete information, Kalman filter
Macroeconomic forecasting, effective lower bound, term structure, censored observations
Term Structure of Expectations, Uncertainty, Survey Forecasts, Fan Charts, Entropic Tilting
Interest Rates, Business Cycles, Structural VAR, Bandpass Filter
Term Structure of Expectations, Uncertainty, Survey Forecasts, Fan Charts
Structural VAR, long-run identification, non-parametric estimation, spectral factorization
State space models, signal extraction, Kalman filter and smoother, precision-based sampling, band matrix
