Multivariate Regime-Switching GARCH with an Application to International Stock Markets

Posted: 20 Feb 2008

See all articles by Markus Haas

Markus Haas

University of Kiel - Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences

Stefan Mittnik

University of Kiel - Institute of Statistics & Econometrics; Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU) - Faculty of Economics; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Date Written: February 2008

Abstract

We develop a multivariate generalization of the Markov-switching GARCH model introduced by Haas, Mittnik, and Paolella (2004b) and derive its fourth-moment structure. An application to international stock markets illustrates the relevance of accounting for volatility regimes from both a statistical and economic perspective, including out-of-sample portfolio selection and computation of Value-at-Risk.

Keywords: Conditional Volatility, Markov-Switching, Multivariate GARCH

JEL Classification: C32, C51, G10, G11

Suggested Citation

Haas, Markus and Mittnik, Stefan, Multivariate Regime-Switching GARCH with an Application to International Stock Markets (February 2008). CFS Working Paper No. 2008/08, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1095786

Markus Haas (Contact Author)

University of Kiel - Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences ( email )

Kiel
Germany

Stefan Mittnik

University of Kiel - Institute of Statistics & Econometrics ( email )

Olshausenstr. 40
Kiel, Schleswig-Holstein 24118
Germany

Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU) - Faculty of Economics ( email )

Akademiestr.1/III
Munich, D-80539
Germany

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

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