Euro Area Inflation Persistence in an Estimated Nonlinear DSGE Model
50 Pages Posted: 23 May 2008
Date Written: June 2007
Abstract
We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model on euro area data, using the conditional particle filter to compute the model likelihood. Our results are consistent with previous findings, based on simulated data, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference compared to the estimation of the linearised model. We also show that the nonlinear model can account for richer economic dynamics: the impulse responses to structural shocks vary depending on initial conditions selected within our estimation sample.
Keywords: Bayesian estimation, DSGE models, inflation persistence, second order approximations, sequential Monte Carlo
JEL Classification: C11, C15, E31, E32, E52
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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