A Real Model of Transitional Growth and Competitiveness in China
36 Pages Posted: 1 Jul 2008
Date Written: April 2008
Abstract
We present a stylized real model of the Chinese economy with the objective of explaining two features: (1) domestic production is highly competitive in the sense that an accumulation of capital that raises the marginal product of labor elicits increases in employment and output rather than only in wages; and (2) even though the domestic saving rate is high, foreign direct investment is also substantial. We explain these features in terms of a conventional neoclassical growth model - with no monetary or nominal exchange rate policy - by including two aspects of the economy explicitly in the model: (1) low production wages are sustained by a large reserve army of rural labor which drives internal migration, and (2) domestic capital is distinct from importable capital and complementary with it in production. The results suggest that underlying real phenomena are important in explaining recent history; while nominal renmimbi appreciation may dampen price and wage increases, it would probably not change the real factors that have sustained rapid growth.
Keywords: Working Paper, China, People's Republic of, Economic growth, Competition, Foreign investment, Investment, Savings, Labor supply, Wages, Prices, Exchange rates
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
What Drives Private Saving Around the World?
By Norman Loayza, Klaus Schmidt-hebbel, ...
-
Investment and Saving in China
By Louis Kuijs
-
Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?
By Marcos Chamon and Eswar S. Prasad
-
Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?
By Marcos Chamon and Eswar S. Prasad
-
Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?
By Marcos Chamon and Eswar S. Prasad
-
How Will China's Saving-Investment Balance Evolve?
By Louis Kuijs
-
The Determinants of Household Saving in China: A Dynamic Panel Analysis of Provincial Data
By Charles Yuji Horioka and Junmin Wan
-
The Determinants of Household Saving in China: A Dynamic Panel Analysis of Provincial Data
By Charles Yuji Horioka and Junmin Wan