Estimating Export Response in Canadian Provinces to the Us-Canada Softwood Lumber Agreement

Canadian Public Policy, Vol. 32, No. 2, 2006

15 Pages Posted: 8 Aug 2008

See all articles by Sumeet Gulati

Sumeet Gulati

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Nisha Malhotra

University of British Columbia

Date Written: 2006

Abstract

We estimate the degree of trade diversion from provinces named under the Softwood Lumber Agreement (SLA) to provinces not named. Our regression results indicate that the SLA had a significant impact on the the exports of non-named SLA provinces. Controlling for other factors, the SLA by itself would have increased exports from these provinces four times. The corresponding effect for the provinces named in the SLA is estimated at minus 5 percent. This decrease is not, however, statistically significant.

Keywords: Softwood Lumber Agreement, Trade Diversion, Trade Protection, Gravity Model

JEL Classification: F1

Suggested Citation

Gulati, Sumeet and Malhotra, Nisha, Estimating Export Response in Canadian Provinces to the Us-Canada Softwood Lumber Agreement (2006). Canadian Public Policy, Vol. 32, No. 2, 2006, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1210062

Sumeet Gulati (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Nisha Malhotra

University of British Columbia ( email )

997-1873 East Mall
Vancouver, BC V6T1Z1
Canada

HOME PAGE: http://www.econ.ubc.ca/nmalhotra/homepage.htm

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