Object-Oriented Graphical Representations of Complex Patterns of Evidence

Posted: 10 Dec 2008

See all articles by Amanda B. Hepler

Amanda B. Hepler

Innovative Decisions, Inc.

A. Philip Dawid

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Valentina Leucari

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: 2007

Abstract

We reconsider two graphical aids to handling complex mixed masses of evidence in a legal case: Wigmore charts and Bayesian networks. Our aim is to forge a synthesis of their best features and to develop this further to overcome remaining limitations. One important consideration is the multilayered nature of a complex case, which can involve direct evidence, ancillary evidence, evidence about ancillary evidence, etc. all of a number of different kinds. If all these features are represented in one diagram, the result can be messy and hard to interpret. In addition, there are often recurrent features and patterns of evidence and evidential relations, e.g. credibility processes or match identification (DNA, eyewitness evidence, etc.), that may appear, in identical or similar form, at many different places within the same network, or within several different networks, and it is wasteful to model all these individually. The recently introduced technology of object-oriented BNs suggests a way of dealing with these problems. Any network can itself contain instances of other networks, the details of which can be hidden from view until information on their detailed structure is desired. Moreover, generic networks to represent recurrent patterns of evidence can be constructed once and for all and copied or edited for reuse as needed. We describe the potential of this mode of description to simplify the construction and display of complex legal cases. To facilitate our narrative, the celebrated Sacco and Vanzetti murder case is used to illustrate the various methods discussed.

Keywords: Bayesian network, evidence analysis, graphical representation, object oriented, Sacco and Vanzetti, Wigmore chart

Suggested Citation

Hepler, Amanda B. and Dawid, A. Philip and Leucari, Valentina, Object-Oriented Graphical Representations of Complex Patterns of Evidence (2007). Law, Probability & Risk, Vol. 6, Issue 1-4, pp. 275-293, 2007, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1312243 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgm005

Amanda B. Hepler (Contact Author)

Innovative Decisions, Inc.

8230 Old Courthouse Rd #460
Vienna, VA
United States

A. Philip Dawid

affiliation not provided to SSRN

No Address Available

Valentina Leucari

affiliation not provided to SSRN

No Address Available

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