Global and Local Sources of Risk in Eastern European Emerging Stock Markets
32 Pages Posted: 10 Jan 2009
There are 2 versions of this paper
Global and Local Sources of Risk in Eastern European Emerging Stock Markets
Global and Local Sources of Risk in Eastern European Emerging Stock Markets
Date Written: December 29, 2008
Abstract
We study a pricing model for global and local sources of risk in six Eastern European emerging stock markets. Utilizing GMM estimation and an unconditional asset-pricing framework with and without time-varying betas, we perform estimations based on monthly data from 1996 to 2007 for Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Bulgaria, Slovenia and Russia. Most of these markets display considerable segmentation; the aggregate emerging market risk, as opposed to global market risk, is the significant driver for their stock market returns. It also appears that currency risk is priced into stock prices. The difference between local and global interest rates can be used to model the time-variation in the betas for both sources of risk.
Keywords: market integration, segmentation, asset pricing, emerging markets, Eastern Europe country risk
JEL Classification: G12, G15, G32
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
Time-Varying World Market Integration
By Geert Bekaert and Campbell R. Harvey
-
Time-Varying World Market Integration
By Geert Bekaert and Campbell R. Harvey
-
Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets
By Geert Bekaert and Campbell R. Harvey
-
Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets
By Geert Bekaert and Campbell R. Harvey
-
The World Price of Foreign Exchange Risk
By Bernard Dumas and Bruno Solnik
-
Emerging Equity Market Volatility
By Geert Bekaert and Campbell R. Harvey
-
Emerging Equity Market Volatility
By Geert Bekaert and Campbell R. Harvey
-
Characterizing Predictable Components in Excess Returns on Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets
By Geert Bekaert and Robert J. Hodrick