Policy Perspectives on OTC Derivatives Market Infrastructure

28 Pages Posted: 13 Jan 2010 Last revised: 10 Jul 2012

See all articles by Darrell Duffie

Darrell Duffie

Stanford University - Graduate School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Canadian Derivatives Institute

Theodore Lubke

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Ada Li

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: January 1, 2010

Abstract

This paper examines poverty in the United States from 1960 through 2005. We investigate how poverty rates and poverty gaps have changed over time, explore how these trends differ across family types, contrast these trends for several different income and consumption measures of poverty, and consider explanations for the differences in trends. We document sharp differences, particularly in recent years, between different income poverty measures, and between income and consumption poverty rates and gaps. Moving from the official pre-tax money income measure to a disposable income measure that incorporates taxes and transfers has a substantial effect on poverty rate changes over the past two decades. Furthermore, consumption poverty rates often indicate large declines, even in recent years when income poverty rates have risen. We show that bias in the CPI-U has a sizable effect on changes in poverty. Between the early 1960s and 2005, an income poverty measure that corrects for bias in this price index declines by 14 percentage points more than a comparable measure based on the CPI-U. The patterns are very different across family types, with consumption poverty falling much faster than income poverty since 1980 for the elderly, but more slowly for married couples with children. Income and consumption measures of deep poverty and poverty gaps have generally moved sharply in opposite directions in the last two decades with income deep poverty and poverty gaps rising, but consumption deep poverty and poverty gaps falling. While relative poverty rose in the early 1980s, changes in relative poverty have been fairly small since 1990. We examine the role that demographics, taxes, and transfers play in explaining changes in poverty over the past three decades. We also consider whether measurement error, saving and dis-saving, and other explanations can account for income and consumption differences.

Keywords: OTC derivatives, central counterparty, centralized data repository, collateral management, electronic trading platform, exchange, market transparency, regulation, systemic risk

JEL Classification: E61, G01, G10, G18

Suggested Citation

Duffie, James Darrell and Lubke, Theodore and Li, Ada, Policy Perspectives on OTC Derivatives Market Infrastructure (January 1, 2010). MFI Working Paper No. 2010-002, FRB of New York Staff Report No. 424, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1534981 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1534981

James Darrell Duffie (Contact Author)

Stanford University - Graduate School of Business ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Canadian Derivatives Institute ( email )

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Canada

Theodore Lubke

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Ada Li

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

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