MOSES: Model of Swedish Economic Studies

Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series No. 249

43 Pages Posted: 26 Jan 2011 Last revised: 1 Feb 2011

See all articles by Gunnar Bardsen

Gunnar Bardsen

Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) - Department of Economics

Ard den Reijer

Sveriges Riksbank - Monetary Policy

Patrik Jonasson

Sveriges Riksbank

Ragnar Nymoen

University of Oslo - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: January 25, 2011

Abstract

MOSES is an aggregate econometric model for Sweden, estimated on quarterly data, and intended for short-term forecasting and policy simulations. After a presentation of qualitative model properties, the econometric methodology is summarized. The model properties, within sample simulations, and examples of dynamic simulation (model forecasts) for the period 2009q2-2012q4 are presented. We address practical issues relating to operational use and maintenance of a macro model of this type. The detailed econometric equations are reported in an appendix.

Suggested Citation

Bardsen, Gunnar and den Reijer, Ard and Jonasson, Patrik and Nymoen, Ragnar, MOSES: Model of Swedish Economic Studies (January 25, 2011). Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series No. 249, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1748105 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1748105

Gunnar Bardsen

Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) - Department of Economics ( email )

NTNU Dragvoll
N-7491 Trondheim
Norway

HOME PAGE: http://www.svt.ntnu.no/iso/gunnar.bardsen

Ard den Reijer (Contact Author)

Sveriges Riksbank - Monetary Policy ( email )

SE-103 37 Stockholm
Sweden

Patrik Jonasson

Sveriges Riksbank ( email )

Brunkebergstorg 11
SE-103 37 Stockholm
Sweden

Ragnar Nymoen

University of Oslo - Department of Economics ( email )

P.O. Box 1095 Blindern
N-0317 Oslo
Norway

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