Download This PaperLong-Run Consequences of Natural Disasters: Evidence from Tangshan
29 Pages Posted: 22 Apr 2011
Date Written: March 2011
Abstract
Exploiting Tangshan 1976 - the deadliest earthquake in the 20th century - as a source of exogenous variation, we estimate the long-run effect of a historical shock on contemporary socio-economic outcomes. Cohorts born after the earthquake were not only larger, but exhibit lower school completion rates, particularly among the female today. Despite lower schooling levels, there is no evidence for adverse labour market outcomes. We conduct robustness checks and argue that the effect is causal.
Keywords: Environmental shock, earthquake, natural disaster, education, fertility
JEL Classification: I20, J00, O18
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Xu, Guo, Long-Run Consequences of Natural Disasters: Evidence from Tangshan (March 2011). DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 1117, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1815145 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1815145
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