Climate Change Impacts: Prioritizing Mechanism and Needs for Future Malaysian Agriculture
International Journal of Physical Sciences, Vol. 6, No. 7, pp. 1742-1748, 2011
Posted: 8 Jun 2011 Last revised: 25 Oct 2014
Date Written: June 7, 2011
Abstract
This paper empirically explored climate change, its related impact on rice agriculture and proper policy- related strategies and mechanism. Our current assessment provided the expected climate change impact based on observational records of inter-annual variability in precipitation and warming climatic factors up to the year 2080. In this study, an analysis of the impact due to climate change and vulnerabilities is performed using Global Circulation Models together with Crop Modeling to represent a range of plausible climate scenarios. The approach used follows a bottom-up strategy, focusing on the vulnerability of Malaysian rice agriculture under various climatic conditions and gives a wide range of potential climate outcomes for rice agriculture in Malaysia. Our projections generated likely future changes and uncertainties on rice production, the potential path for planning strategies and, finally, prioritizing requirements and influences in investment decisions to reduce vulnerabilities. The data is discussed and can be used for climate-related agriculture policies in Malaysia and elsewhere.
Keywords: climate change, rice agriculture, long-term scenario analysis, prioritizing mechanism and decision, policy strategy
JEL Classification: N5, O13, O2
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation