Climate Change Impacts: Prioritizing Mechanism and Needs for Future Malaysian Agriculture

International Journal of Physical Sciences, Vol. 6, No. 7, pp. 1742-1748, 2011

Posted: 8 Jun 2011 Last revised: 25 Oct 2014

See all articles by Abul Quasem Al-Amin

Abul Quasem Al-Amin

University of Waterloo

Walter Leal Filho

Hamburg University of Applied Sciences (HAW)

Mohammad Alamgir Kabir

University of Malaya (UM)

Mohammad Nurul Azam

University of Malaya (UM)

Abdul Hamid Jaafar

National University of Malaysia

Fatimah Kari

University of Malaya (UM)

Date Written: June 7, 2011

Abstract

This paper empirically explored climate change, its related impact on rice agriculture and proper policy- related strategies and mechanism. Our current assessment provided the expected climate change impact based on observational records of inter-annual variability in precipitation and warming climatic factors up to the year 2080. In this study, an analysis of the impact due to climate change and vulnerabilities is performed using Global Circulation Models together with Crop Modeling to represent a range of plausible climate scenarios. The approach used follows a bottom-up strategy, focusing on the vulnerability of Malaysian rice agriculture under various climatic conditions and gives a wide range of potential climate outcomes for rice agriculture in Malaysia. Our projections generated likely future changes and uncertainties on rice production, the potential path for planning strategies and, finally, prioritizing requirements and influences in investment decisions to reduce vulnerabilities. The data is discussed and can be used for climate-related agriculture policies in Malaysia and elsewhere.

Keywords: climate change, rice agriculture, long-term scenario analysis, prioritizing mechanism and decision, policy strategy

JEL Classification: N5, O13, O2

Suggested Citation

Al-Amin, Abul Quasem and Filho, Walter Leal and Kabir, Mohammad Alamgir and Nurul Azam, Mohammad and Jaafar, Abdul Hamid and Kari, Fatimah, Climate Change Impacts: Prioritizing Mechanism and Needs for Future Malaysian Agriculture (June 7, 2011). International Journal of Physical Sciences, Vol. 6, No. 7, pp. 1742-1748, 2011, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1859391

Abul Quasem Al-Amin (Contact Author)

University of Waterloo ( email )

Waterloo, Ontario N2L 3G1
Canada

Walter Leal Filho

Hamburg University of Applied Sciences (HAW) ( email )

Berliner Tor 5
Hamburg, 20099
Germany

Mohammad Alamgir Kabir

University of Malaya (UM) ( email )

Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
University of Malaya (UM)
Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
Malaysia

Mohammad Nurul Azam

University of Malaya (UM) ( email )

Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
University of Malaya (UM)
Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
Malaysia

Abdul Hamid Jaafar

National University of Malaysia ( email )

43600 Bandar Baru Bangi
Bangi, Selangor 06010
Malaysia

HOME PAGE: http://www.ukm.my

Fatimah Kari

University of Malaya (UM) ( email )

Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
University of Malaya (UM)
Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
Malaysia

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