On the Measurement of the International Propagation of Shocks
48 Pages Posted: 4 Feb 2000 Last revised: 7 Aug 2022
Date Written: September 1999
Abstract
In this paper I offer an alternative identification assumption that allows one to test for changing patterns regarding the international propagation of shocks when endogenous variables, omitted variables, and heteroskedasticity are present in the data. Using this methodology, I demonstrate that the propagation mechanisms of 36 stock markets remained relatively stable throughout the last three major international crises which have been associated with 'contagion' (i.e., Mexico 1994, Hong Kong 1997, and Russia 1998). These findings cast considerable doubt upon theories that suggest that the propagation of shocks is crisis contingent, and driven by endogenous liquidity issues, multiple equilibria, and political contagion. Rather, these findings would seem to support theories that identify such matters as trade, learning, and aggregate shocks as the primary transmission mechanisms in this process.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Co-Movements
By Kristin J. Forbes and Roberto Rigobon
-
Transmission of Volatility between Stock Markets
By Mervyn King and Sushil Wadhwani
-
Asymmetric Correlations of Equity Portfolios
By Joseph Chen and Andrew Ang
-
Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility Across International Stock Markets
By Yasushi Hamao, Ronald W. Masulis, ...
-
Volatiltiy and Links between National Stock Markets
By Mervyn King, Enrique Sentana, ...
-
A New Approach to Measuring Financial Contagion
By Kee-hong Bae, George Andrew Karolyi, ...
-
Why Do Markets Move Together? An Investigation of U.S.-Japan Stock Return Comovements Using Adrs
-
A New Approach to Measuring Financial Contagion
By Kee-hong Bae, George Andrew Karolyi, ...
-
By Wenling Lin, Robert F. Engle, ...