Determinants of Female Fertility in Taiwan, 1966-2001

Asian Economic Journal 20(4): 393-407, 2006

Posted: 8 Jun 2012

See all articles by Paresh Kumar Narayan

Paresh Kumar Narayan

Deakin University - School of Accounting, Economics and Finance

Date Written: June 8, 2012

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of the fertility rate in Taiwan over the period 1966-2001. Consistent with theory, the key explanatory variables in Taiwan's fertility model are real income, infant mortality rate, female education and female labor force participation rate. The test for cointegration is based on the recently developed bounds testing procedure while the long-run and short-run elasticities are based on the autoregressive distributed lag model. Among our key results, female education and female labor force participation rate are found to be the key determinants of fertility in Taiwan in the long run. The variance decomposition analysis indicates that in the long run approximately 45 percent of the variation in fertility is explained by the combined impact of female labor force participation, mortality and income, implying that socioeconomic development played an important role in the fertility transition in Taiwan. This result is consistent with the traditional structural hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

Narayan, Paresh Kumar, Determinants of Female Fertility in Taiwan, 1966-2001 (June 8, 2012). Asian Economic Journal 20(4): 393-407, 2006 , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2079932

Paresh Kumar Narayan (Contact Author)

Deakin University - School of Accounting, Economics and Finance ( email )

221 Burwood Highway
Burwood, Victoria 3215
Australia

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