El déficit de vivienda urbano: consideraciones metodológicas y un estudio de caso (Urban Housing Gap: Methodological Considerations, and a Case Study)

Cuadernos de Economía, Vol. 31, No. 56, 2012

38 Pages Posted: 6 Sep 2012

See all articles by Luis Armando Galvis

Luis Armando Galvis

Banco de la República - Central Bank of Colombia

Date Written: 2012

Abstract

El presente documento analiza el déficit de vivienda en Barranquilla y Soledad durante 1993, 2005 y 2009. Los resultados muestran que en la ciudad de Barranquilla, principalmente por la mejoría en servicios públicos, ha venido aumentado el porcentaje de hogares sin déficit. En el municipio de Soledad la mayoría de los hogares en déficit tienen problemas susceptibles de mejorar. Con el fin de caracterizar los hogares en déficit, se modificó la metodología del Dane para identificar los hogares que están en la doble desventaja de presentar déficit cualitativo y cuantitativo. A partir de estos nuevos cálculos se utilizaron los modelos probit binomial, logit multinomial y probit bivariado. De este último se concluye que existe una relación negativa entre el nivel de ingresos, la educación y la edad del jefe con la probabilidad que el hogar esté en déficit.

This paper analyzes the housing gap in Barranquilla and Soledad during 1993, 2005, and 2009. The results showed that in the city of Barranquilla the percentage of households without housing gap has been increasing and those in shortage went from being in qualitative to being in the quantitative housing gap. This may be result of Barranquilla´s improvement in public services. The municipality of Soledad shows the majority of households in shortage problems can be improved, particularly those related to public services. In characterizing households in shortage we modified the methodology by DANE to identify households that are in the double disadvantage of both types of shortage. The new calculations were used to fit binomial probit and multinominal logit models, to establish the nature of the choice of housing. The latter model was preferred, first because it allowed differentiating the decision of households living in quantitative shortage, qualitative, or both. However, the estimations were used as an auxiliary model, given that the alternatives on the choice of a household with quantitative or qualitative shortage are not independent, the statistical tests suggested the estimation of a system of equations in the form of a bivariate probit. The results of the bivariate model suggest that there is a negative relationship between the level of income, education, and the age of the head with the likelihood that this home is in shortage; In addition, when the household head is female or is married, the probability of qualitative shortage increases. It is worth mentioning that Barranquilla households are more likely to be in quantitative shortage than the ones from Soledad.

Note: Downloadable document is in Spanish.

Keywords: Housing gap, regional economy, econometrics, bivariate probit, Barranquilla

JEL Classification: R21, C35, R11, R10

Suggested Citation

Galvis, Luis Armando, El déficit de vivienda urbano: consideraciones metodológicas y un estudio de caso (Urban Housing Gap: Methodological Considerations, and a Case Study) (2012). Cuadernos de Economía, Vol. 31, No. 56, 2012, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2141962

Luis Armando Galvis (Contact Author)

Banco de la República - Central Bank of Colombia ( email )

Carrera 7 #14-78
Bogotá
Colombia

HOME PAGE: http://www.banrep.gov.co

Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?

Paper statistics

Downloads
60
Abstract Views
531
Rank
643,103
PlumX Metrics