The Effect of Weather-Induced Internal Migration on Local Labor Markets: Evidence from Uganda

36 Pages Posted: 20 Oct 2012

See all articles by Eric Strobl

Eric Strobl

Ecole Polytechnique, Paris - Department of Economic Sciences; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Marie‐Anne Valfort

Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne

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Date Written: October 20, 2012

Abstract

Relying on census data collected in 2002 and historical weather data for Uganda, we estimate the impact of weather-induced internal migration on the probability for non-migrants living in the destination regions to be employed. Our results reveal a significant negative impact. Consistent with the prediction of a simple theoretical model, they further show that this negative impact is significantly stronger in regions with lower road density and therefore less conducive to capital mobility: a 10 percentage points increase in the net in-migration rate in these areas decreases the probability of being employed of non-migrants by more than 20 percentage points.

Keywords: weather shocks, internal migration, labor market, Sub-Saharan Africa

JEL Classification: E24, J21, J61, Q54, R23

Suggested Citation

Strobl, Eric and Valfort, Marie-Anne, The Effect of Weather-Induced Internal Migration on Local Labor Markets: Evidence from Uganda (October 20, 2012). IZA Discussion Paper No. 6923, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2164652 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2164652

Eric Strobl (Contact Author)

Ecole Polytechnique, Paris - Department of Economic Sciences ( email )

Ecole Polytechnique
Department of Economics
Paris, 75005
France

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Marie-Anne Valfort

Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne ( email )

17, rue de la Sorbonne
Paris, IL 75005
France

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