Quantifying the Advantage of Looking Forward

Scientific Reports, Vol. 2, pp. 350, 2012

2 Pages Posted: 29 Oct 2012

See all articles by Tobias Preis

Tobias Preis

Data Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School; The Alan Turing Institute

Helen Susannah Moat

Data Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School; The Alan Turing Institute

H. Eugene Stanley

Boston University - Center for Polymer Studies

Steven Bishop

University College London

Date Written: April 5, 2012

Abstract

We introduce a future orientation index to quantify the degree to which Internet users worldwide seek more information about years in the future than years in the past. We analyse Google logs and find a striking correlation between the country’s GDP and the predisposition of its inhabitants to look forward.

Keywords: search volume, data mining, big data, Google, correlation, computational social science, digital traces

JEL Classification: A10, B40, C10, C20, C22, C53, C90, D70, D79, D83, J10, J11, O40, O47

Suggested Citation

Preis, Tobias and Moat, Helen Susannah and Stanley, H. Eugene and Bishop, Steven, Quantifying the Advantage of Looking Forward (April 5, 2012). Scientific Reports, Vol. 2, pp. 350, 2012, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2167790

Tobias Preis (Contact Author)

Data Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School ( email )

University of Warwick
Coventry, CV4 7AL
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.tobiaspreis.com

The Alan Turing Institute ( email )

British Library, 96 Euston Road
96 Euston Road
London, NW12DB
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.turing.ac.uk/people/researchers/tobias-preis

Helen Susannah Moat

Data Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School ( email )

University of Warwick
Coventry, CV4 7AL
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.wbs.ac.uk/about/person/suzy-moat/

The Alan Turing Institute ( email )

British Library 96 Euston Road
96 Euston Road
London, NW12DB
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.turing.ac.uk/people/researchers/suzy-moat

H. Eugene Stanley

Boston University - Center for Polymer Studies ( email )

Boston, MA 02215
United States

Steven Bishop

University College London ( email )

Gower Street
London, WC1E 6BT
United Kingdom

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