The Recidivism of Offenders Given Suspended Sentences: A Comparison with Full-Time Imprisonment
Crime and Justice Bulletin No 136, New South Wales Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, 2009
16 Pages Posted: 13 Dec 2012
Date Written: September 2009
Abstract
Between 2000 and 2007, the number of suspended sentences imposed by the NSW Local Court rose 300 per cent, from 1,704 to 5,172. In 2000, suspended sentences accounted for about one per cent of all penalties imposed by the NSW Local Court. By 2007, this figure had risen to 4.6 per cent. One issue of contention is whether suspended sentences have the same deterrent effect on re-offending as prison sentences. In this study we compare rates of re-offending among offenders who received suspended sentences with rates of re-offending among a matched control group who received a full-time prison sentence. For offenders with no prior prison sentence, there was no statistically significant difference in re-offending between offenders who received a suspended sentence and those who received a prison sentence. Among offenders who had previously been to prison, however, those who received a prison sentence re-offended substantially quicker than those who received a suspended sentence. We conclude that there is no evidence full-time imprisonment exerts a greater deterrent effect than a suspended sentence of imprisonment.
Keywords: suspended sentences, deterrence, re-offending, propensity score matching, survival analysis
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