Accounting for the Non-Employment of U.S. Men, 1968-2010

29 Pages Posted: 19 Dec 2012

See all articles by Marianna Kudlyak

Marianna Kudlyak

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco; Hoover Institution; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Thomas Lubik

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

Jonathan J. Tompkins

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

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Date Written: 2011

Abstract

We conduct an accounting exercise of the changes in aggregate employment, unemployment, and out of labor force (OLF) among 25-64-year-old men from 1968-2010. We decompose the observed changes in these labor market outcomes into changes in the sociodemographic composition of the population and changes in the labor market outcomes of different sociodemographic groups. Using the results of the decomposition, we predict that the OLF-to-population ratio for men will increase to 16 percent in 2015, up from 14.7 percent in 2010.

Suggested Citation

Kudlyak, Marianna and Lubik, Thomas and Tompkins, Jonathan J., Accounting for the Non-Employment of U.S. Men, 1968-2010 (2011). FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 97, no. 4, Fourth Quarter 2011, pp. 359-387, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2190565

Marianna Kudlyak (Contact Author)

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ( email )

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Hoover Institution ( email )

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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

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IZA Institute of Labor Economics ( email )

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Thomas Lubik

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond ( email )

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Jonathan J. Tompkins

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond ( email )

P.O. Box 27622
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