Prospects for Tuberculosis Elimination

Posted: 24 Mar 2013

See all articles by Christopher Dye

Christopher Dye

World Health Organization (WHO)

Philippe Glaziou

World Health Organization - Global Tuberculosis Programme

Katherine Floyd

World Health Organization

Mario Raviglione

University of Milan - Centre for Multidisciplinary Research in Health Science (MACH); World Health Organization (WHO)

Date Written: March 2013

Abstract

The target for TB elimination is to reduce annual incidence to less than one case per million population by 2050. Meeting that target requires a 1,000-fold reduction in incidence in little more than 35 years. This can be achieved only by combining the effective treatment of active TB—early case detection and high cure rates to interrupt transmission—with methods to prevent new infections and to neutralize existing latent infections. Vigorous implementation of the WHO Stop TB Strategy is needed to achieve the former, facilitated by the effective supply of, and demand for, health services. The latter calls for new technology, including biomarkers of TB risk, diagnostics, drugs, and vaccines. An important milestone en route to elimination will be reached when there is less than 1 TB death per 100,000 population, marking entry into the elimination phase. This landmark can be reached by many countries within 1–2 decades.

Suggested Citation

Dye, Christopher and Glaziou, Philippe and Floyd, Katherine and Raviglione, Mario, Prospects for Tuberculosis Elimination (March 2013). Annual Review of Public Health, Vol. 34, pp. 271-286, 2013, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2238557 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031912-114431

Christopher Dye

World Health Organization (WHO) ( email )

20 Avenue Appia
Geneva 27, CH-1211
Switzerland

Philippe Glaziou

World Health Organization - Global Tuberculosis Programme

20 Avenue Appia
Geneva 27, CH-1211
Switzerland

Katherine Floyd

World Health Organization

20 Avenue Appia
Geneva 27, CH-1211
Switzerland

Mario Raviglione

University of Milan - Centre for Multidisciplinary Research in Health Science (MACH)

Via Festa del Perdono, 7
Milan, 20122
Italy

World Health Organization (WHO)

20 Avenue Appia
Geneva 27, CH-1211
Switzerland

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