Letters to the Editor: Credibility Problem for Transit: Response to Millar

Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn 2005, Vol. 71, No. 4, p. 452, DOI: 10.1080/01944360508976715

4 Pages Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last revised: 6 Jan 2016

See all articles by Bent Flyvbjerg

Bent Flyvbjerg

University of Oxford - Said Business School; IT University of Copenhagen; St Anne's College, University of Oxford

Søren Buhl

Aalborg University

Mette Holm

Aalborg Municipality

Date Written: 2005

Abstract

The Summer 2005 issue of JAPA contains a letter from the President of the American Public Transportation Association, William Millar, regarding our article, "How (In)accurate are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects? The Case of Transportation," printed in the Spring issue. We concluded that transit ridership forecasts are frequently and highly overestimated, including those for projects in the U.S. Millar challenges this conclusion, and calls for readers to disregard our "specious article." We will respond to Millar’s letter point by point.

Suggested Citation

Flyvbjerg, Bent and Buhl, Søren and Holm, Mette, Letters to the Editor: Credibility Problem for Transit: Response to Millar (2005). Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn 2005, Vol. 71, No. 4, p. 452, DOI: 10.1080/01944360508976715, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2278289

Bent Flyvbjerg (Contact Author)

University of Oxford - Said Business School ( email )

Oxford
Great Britain

IT University of Copenhagen ( email )

Copenhagen
Denmark

St Anne's College, University of Oxford ( email )

Oxford
United Kingdom

Søren Buhl

Aalborg University ( email )

Fredrik Bajers Vej 7E
Aalborg, DK-9220
Denmark

Mette Holm

Aalborg Municipality

Aalborg
Denmark

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