Simple Banking: Profitability and the Yield Curve
44 Pages Posted: 25 Mar 2014
Date Written: January 24, 2014
Abstract
How does bank profitability vary with interest rates? We present a model of a monopolistically competitive bank subject to repricing frictions, and test the model’s predictions using a unique panel data set on UK banks. We find evidence that large banks retain a residual exposure to interest rates, even after accounting for hedging activity operating through the trading book. In the long run, both level and slope of the yield curve contribute positively to profitability. In the short run, however, increases in market rates compress interest margins, consistent with the presence of non negligible loan pricing frictions.
Keywords: banking profitability, net interest margin, interest rates
JEL Classification: E4, G21
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation