The Superstar Quest: Does Youth Talent Predict Professional Success For Female and Male Tennis Players?

8 Pages Posted: 14 Apr 2014

See all articles by Wayne A. Grove

Wayne A. Grove

Le Moyne College - Department of Economics

Michael Jetter

University of Western Australia; IZA

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: April 13, 2014

Abstract

We estimate the relationship between international youth and professional tennis rankings. We find no difference between the predictiveness of rankings from age 14 & Under versus age 16 & Under competitions. The most persistent predictor of professional success is beating older top ranked juniors. Our results reveal stark gender differences. For example, ordinal junior rankings are more strongly associated with professional success for males than for females. In addition, future tennis stars are better signaled by U14 competition outcomes for females, but by U16 results for males.

Keywords: productivity measures, labor supply, career outcomes, tennis

JEL Classification: D82, D91, J16, J22, J24

Suggested Citation

Grove, Wayne A. and Jetter, Michael, The Superstar Quest: Does Youth Talent Predict Professional Success For Female and Male Tennis Players? (April 13, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2424811 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2424811

Wayne A. Grove (Contact Author)

Le Moyne College - Department of Economics ( email )

1419 Salt Springs Road
Syraucse, NY 13214

HOME PAGE: http://webserver.lemoyne.edu/grovewa/

Michael Jetter

University of Western Australia ( email )

35 Stirling Highway
Crawley, Western Australia 6009
AUSTRALIA

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