Monetary Policy and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Sticky-Price Models

49 Pages Posted: 2 Jul 2014 Last revised: 12 Apr 2019

See all articles by Carlos Carvalho

Carlos Carvalho

Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio) - Department of Economics; Kapitalo Investimentos

Fernanda Nechio

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco; Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Fang Yao

Friedrich-Alexander University of Erlangen-Nürnberg

Date Written: April 5, 2019

Abstract

We study how real exchange rate dynamics are affected by monetary policy in dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium, sticky-price models. Our analytical and quantitative results show that the source of interest rate persistence - policy inertia or persistent policy shocks - is key. In the presence of persistent monetary shocks, increasing policy inertia may decrease real exchange rate persistence, hampering the ability of sticky-price models to generate persistent real exchange rate deviations from parity. When we take the model to the data, the latter favors a policy rule with high shock persistence and low policy inertia.

Keywords: real exchange rates, monetary policy, interest rate smoothing, PPP puzzle, persistence

JEL Classification: F3, F41, E0

Suggested Citation

Carvalho, Carlos and Nechio, Fernanda and Nechio, Fernanda and Yao, Fang, Monetary Policy and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Sticky-Price Models (April 5, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2461535 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2461535

Carlos Carvalho (Contact Author)

Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio) - Department of Economics ( email )

Rua Marques de Sao Vicente, 225/206F
Rio de Janeiro, RJ 22451
Brazil

HOME PAGE: http://https://sites.google.com/site/cvianac2/carloscarvalho

Kapitalo Investimentos ( email )

São Paulo
Brazil

Fernanda Nechio

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ( email )

101 Market Street
MS 1130
San Francisco, CA 94105
United States

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ( email )

101 Market Street
MS 1130
San Francisco, CA 94105
United States

Fang Yao

Friedrich-Alexander University of Erlangen-Nürnberg ( email )

Schloßplatz 4
DE Bavaria 91054
Germany

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