Stochastic Games in Continuous Time: Persistent Actions in Long-Run Relationships, Second Version

70 Pages Posted: 5 Oct 2014

See all articles by J. Aislinn Bohren

J. Aislinn Bohren

University of Pennsylvania; Centre for Economic Policy Research

Date Written: August 1, 2014

Abstract

This paper studies a class of continuous-time stochastic games in which the actions of a long-run player have a persistent effect on payoffs. For example, the quality of a firm's product depends on past as well as current effort, or the level of a policy instrument depends on a government's past choices. The long-run player faces a population of small players, and its actions are imperfectly observed. I establish the existence of Markov equilibria, characterize the Perfect Public Equilibria (PPE) pay-offset as the convex hull of the Markov Equilibria payoff set, and identify conditions for the uniqueness of a Markov equilibrium in the class of all PPE. The existence proof is constructive: it characterizes the explicit form of Markov equilibria payoffs and actions, for any discount rate. Action persistence creates a crucial new channel to generate intertemporal incentives in a setting where traditional channels fail, and can provide permanent non-trivial incentives in many settings. These results offer a novel framework for thinking about reputational dynamics of firms, governments, and other long-run agents.

Keywords: Continuous Time Games, Stochastic Games, Reputation

JEL Classification: C73, L1

Suggested Citation

Bohren, J. Aislinn, Stochastic Games in Continuous Time: Persistent Actions in Long-Run Relationships, Second Version (August 1, 2014). PIER Working Paper No. 14-033, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2505129 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2505129

J. Aislinn Bohren (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania ( email )

133 South 36th Street
The Ronald O. Perelman Center
Philadelphia, PA 19104
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research ( email )

London
United Kingdom

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