Predicting Market Risk with Density Combination: An Introduction
Wilmott Magazine 81, pp. 52-57, 2016
10 Pages Posted: 19 Feb 2015 Last revised: 13 Nov 2017
Date Written: August 10, 2015
Abstract
Density forecast combination is a useful tool for risk managers to reduce model risk. We present up-to-date methodologies in the field, discuss key issues and provide some illustrations.
Keywords: Density forecast combination, censoring, incomplete model set, risk model contribution, skew Student-t distribution, pool risk forecasts
JEL Classification: C53, G32
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Ardia, David and Kolly, Jeremy, Predicting Market Risk with Density Combination: An Introduction (August 10, 2015). Wilmott Magazine 81, pp. 52-57, 2016, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2566531 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2566531
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Feedback
Feedback to SSRN
If you need immediate assistance, call 877-SSRNHelp (877 777 6435) in the United States, or +1 212 448 2500 outside of the United States, 8:30AM to 6:00PM U.S. Eastern, Monday - Friday.