Are Tax Cuts Really Expansionary?

53 Pages Posted: 22 Feb 2001 Last revised: 12 Dec 2022

See all articles by N. Gregory Mankiw

N. Gregory Mankiw

Harvard University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Lawrence H. Summers

Harvard University; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)

Date Written: September 1984

Abstract

In this paper, we re-examine the standard analysis of the short-run effect of a personal tax cut. If consumer spending generates more money demand than other components of GNP, then tax cuts may, by increasing the demand for money, depress aggregate demand. We examine a variety of evidence and conclude that the necessary condition for contractionary tax cuts is probably satisfied for the U.S. economy.

Suggested Citation

Mankiw, N. Gregory and Summers, Lawrence H., Are Tax Cuts Really Expansionary? (September 1984). NBER Working Paper No. w1443, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=261255

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