Eliciting Ambiguous Beliefs Under Alpha-Maxmin Preference
20 Pages Posted: 19 Mar 2016 Last revised: 6 Aug 2017
Date Written: June 1, 2017
Abstract
We study the problem of elicitation of subjective beliefs of an agent when the beliefs are ambiguous (the set of beliefs is a non-singleton set) and the agent's preference exhibits ambiguity aversion; in particular, as represented by alpha-maxmin preferences. We construct a direct revelation mechanism such that truthful reporting of beliefs is the agent's unique best response. The mechanism uses knowledge of the preference parameter alpha and we construct a mechanism that truthfully elicits alpha. Finally, using the two as ingredients, we construct a grand mechanism that elicits ambiguous beliefs and alpha concurrently.
Keywords: Ambiguity, alpha-maxmin preferences, maxmin preferences, elicitation of beliefs and alpha
JEL Classification: D81, D82
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation