Aging, Trade, and Migration

26 Pages Posted: 19 Jul 2016

See all articles by Richard Chisik

Richard Chisik

Ryerson University, Faculty of Arts - Department of Economics

Harun Onder

World Bank

Dhimitri Qirjo

SUNY College at Plattsburgh - School of Business and Economics

Date Written: June 30, 2016

Abstract

This study considers the role of demand-driven changes arising from population aging and how they affect the pattern of international trade as well as trade and immigration policy. An aging society can see a welfare-reducing reduction in its share of manufacturing output and this reduction is magnified by a decrease in trade costs (an increase in globalization). Immigration can ameliorate this outcome if it is directed toward younger immigrants. A unilateral tariff increase can also reduce firm delocation from an aging country, however, a reciprocated tariff increase will unambiguously harm the country with the older average population.

Keywords: Trade and Multilateral Issues, Rules of Origin, International Trade and Trade Rules, Trade Policy

Suggested Citation

Chisik, Richard and Onder, Harun and Qirjo, Dhimitri, Aging, Trade, and Migration (June 30, 2016). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7740, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2811388

Richard Chisik (Contact Author)

Ryerson University, Faculty of Arts - Department of Economics ( email )

Canada

Harun Onder

World Bank ( email )

1818 H Street, NW
Washington, DC 20433
United States

Dhimitri Qirjo

SUNY College at Plattsburgh - School of Business and Economics

101 Broad Street
Plattsburgh, NY 12901
United States

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