Understanding Oil Scarcity Through Drilling Activity
36 Pages Posted: 8 Aug 2016 Last revised: 10 Sep 2021
Date Written: January 26, 2017
Abstract
There are two dimensions to the scarcity of exhaustible resources: physical and economic. While there is general consensus that oil has grown physically scarce overtime, it is less clear whether the same can be said of economic scarcity. We develop a procedure based on evaluating movements in both drilling trends and rents in order to draw more precise inference about economic scarcity. We apply this method to data on the US oil industry and demonstrate that US crude oil reserves grew economically more abundant between 1955 and 2002, despite increasing physical scarcity.
Keywords: Exploration, Drilling, Oil, United States
JEL Classification: Q31, Q35
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation