Adoption and Diffusion of Micro-Grids in Italy. An Analysis of Regional Factors Using Agent-Based Modelling

27 Pages Posted: 15 Jun 2017

See all articles by Francesco Pasimeni

Francesco Pasimeni

SPRU - University of Sussex; Joint Research Center of the European Commission

Date Written: June 14, 2017

Abstract

The Italian electricity system, based on a centralized grid, presents important inefficiencies in the transmission infrastructure and is highly import-dependent. At the same time, it has a high renewable potential. These three aspects might encourage Italy to shift from the traditional centralized grid to a new decentralized electricity system by adopting Micro-Grids (MGs). This transition, however, has not yet started. This work aims to study the possible scenarios of adoption and diffusion of MGs in Italy, by analysing the influence of regional factors, the potential role of subsidies and people’s attitude. An agent-based model is formulated in order to simulate the diffusion of MGs as a function of those characteristics and to analyse which policies could facilitate the adoption of MGs in the country. The results show the high dependence of the diffusion process on regional factors (electricity demand, renewable potential and population). Moreover, the model confirms that subsidies can encourage the diffusion (mainly when they are regional-based rather than national-based) and that a higher “green” attitude by users can accelerate the diffusion of MGs in Italy.

Keywords: Micro-Grids, Agent-Based Model, Innovation Diffusion

Suggested Citation

Pasimeni, Francesco, Adoption and Diffusion of Micro-Grids in Italy. An Analysis of Regional Factors Using Agent-Based Modelling (June 14, 2017). SWPS 2017-09, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2986198 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2986198

Francesco Pasimeni (Contact Author)

SPRU - University of Sussex ( email )

Mantell Building
Falmer
Brighton BN1 9RH UK, Sussex
United Kingdom

Joint Research Center of the European Commission ( email )

PO Box 2
Petten, 1755ZG
Netherlands

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