The Case for Bayesian Judges: Putting Posner and Vermeule into Practice

Journal of Legal Metrics, Vol. 6, No. 1 (2019), pp. 13-20

8 Pages Posted: 9 Jan 2018 Last revised: 24 Dec 2019

See all articles by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

F. E. Guerra-Pujol

Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico; University of Central Florida

Date Written: December 24, 2019

Abstract

This paper contributes to the literature on adjudication by proposing a simple method for operationalizing Eric Posner and Adrian Vermeule’s valuable insights about the Bayesian nature of the judicial process.

Keywords: Bayesian voting, degrees of belief, confidence levels, judicial voting, appellate judges

JEL Classification: K40, D71

Suggested Citation

Guerra-Pujol, F. E., The Case for Bayesian Judges: Putting Posner and Vermeule into Practice (December 24, 2019). Journal of Legal Metrics, Vol. 6, No. 1 (2019), pp. 13-20, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3096881 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3096881

F. E. Guerra-Pujol (Contact Author)

Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico ( email )

University of Central Florida ( email )

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