Household Debt Overhang and Unemployment

Forthcoming, Journal of Finance

40 Pages Posted: 14 Jan 2019

See all articles by Jason Roderick Donaldson

Jason Roderick Donaldson

Washington University in St. Louis

Giorgia Piacentino

Columbia University

Anjan V. Thakor

Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School; Financial Theory Group; European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI); Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Laboratory for Financial Engineering

Date Written: January 4, 2019

Abstract

We use a labor-search model to explain why the worst employment slumps often follow expansions of household debt. We find that households protected by limited liability suffer from a household-debt-overhang problem that leads them to require high wages to work. Firms respond by posting high wages but few vacancies. This vacancy posting effect implies that high household debt leads to high unemployment. Even though households borrow from banks via bilaterally optimal contracts, the equilibrium level of household debt is inefficiently high due to a household-debt externality. We analyze the role that a financial regulator can play in mitigating this externality.

Keywords: Household Debt, Limited Liability, Employment, Financial Regulation

JEL Classification: D14, G21, G28, J63, E24

Suggested Citation

Donaldson, Jason Roderick and Piacentino, Giorgia and Thakor, Anjan V., Household Debt Overhang and Unemployment (January 4, 2019). Forthcoming, Journal of Finance, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3310018 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3310018

Jason Roderick Donaldson

Washington University in St. Louis ( email )

One Brookings Drive
Campus Box 1208
Saint Louis, MO MO 63130-4899
United States

Giorgia Piacentino

Columbia University ( email )

New York

Anjan V. Thakor (Contact Author)

Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School ( email )

One Brookings Drive
Campus Box 1133
St. Louis, MO 63130-4899
United States

Financial Theory Group ( email )

United States

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI) ( email )

c/o the Royal Academies of Belgium
Rue Ducale 1 Hertogsstraat
1000 Brussels
Belgium

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Laboratory for Financial Engineering ( email )

100 Main Street, E62-618
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States

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