Updates to Household Inflation Expectations: Signal or Noise?

9 Pages Posted: 20 May 2019

See all articles by Yongchen Zhao

Yongchen Zhao

Towson University - Department of Economics

Date Written: May 7, 2019

Abstract

Using data from the New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations, we examine the information content of the updates to household inflation expectations. We find that, although consumers frequently revise their expectations, the adjustments are largely uninformative.

Keywords: inflation expectations, revisions to expectations, household surveys, rational inattention

JEL Classification: E31, D83, D84

Suggested Citation

Zhao, Yongchen, Updates to Household Inflation Expectations: Signal or Noise? (May 7, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3383841 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3383841

Yongchen Zhao (Contact Author)

Towson University - Department of Economics ( email )

Towson, MD 21204
United States

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