Fertility and Long Term Trend of Human Lifespan

5 Pages Posted: 17 Jan 2020

See all articles by Jing Chen

Jing Chen

University of Northern British Columbia - School of Business

Date Written: July 7, 2019

Abstract

There has been an empirical regularity of steady human lifespan expansion for more than a century. From this regularity, many researchers suggest this trend will be extended indefinitely. We apply the inverse relation between lifespan and fertility rate to give a quantitative estimate about the possible future path of lifespan. The results suggest that the long standing regularity of steady lifespan extension will be modified in the coming decades.

Suggested Citation

Chen, Jing, Fertility and Long Term Trend of Human Lifespan (July 7, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3416266 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3416266

Jing Chen (Contact Author)

University of Northern British Columbia - School of Business ( email )

Prince George, BC, V2N 4Z9
Canada
250-960-6480 (Phone)
250-960-5544 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://web.unbc.ca/~chenj/

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