The Political Economy of a Northern Ireland Border Poll

31 Pages Posted: 12 Aug 2019 Last revised: 16 Apr 2023

See all articles by Seamus McGuinness

Seamus McGuinness

Economic and Social Research Institute, Ireland

Adele Bergin

Economic & Social Research Institute (ESRI)

Abstract

Given the increased prominence of a border poll in Ireland, particularly following the outcome of the Brexit referendum, this paper provides an initial assessment of some of the issues that are likely to become central in any debate on this issue. We examine the relative income and growth position of Northern Ireland within a UK and Irish regional framework over time. We further compare, and contrast, in detail aspects of the structure of both economies on the island of Ireland in the areas of educational attainment, trade orientation and the role of FDI.The paper goes on to analyse other relevant issues, such as the relative strength and weaknesses of the healthcare systems and the factors determining the potential economic cost of Irish unification. The objective of the research is to initiate an evidence-based approach to the question of a border poll and to provide an initial indication of the breadth of detail and analysis required for any debate to proceed in a meaningful manner.

Keywords: Brexit, Northern Ireland, border poll

JEL Classification: P52, J01, J10, R10

Suggested Citation

McGuinness, Seamus and Bergin, Adele, The Political Economy of a Northern Ireland Border Poll. IZA Discussion Paper No. 12496, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3435370 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3435370

Seamus McGuinness (Contact Author)

Economic and Social Research Institute, Ireland ( email )

Dublin 4
Ireland

HOME PAGE: http://www.esri.ie/about_us/staff/view_all_staff/view/index.xml?id=1040

Adele Bergin

Economic & Social Research Institute (ESRI) ( email )

Dublin 4
Ireland

Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?

Paper statistics

Downloads
58
Abstract Views
385
Rank
653,991
PlumX Metrics