lancet-header

Preprints with The Lancet is part of SSRN´s First Look, a place where journals identify content of interest prior to publication. Authors have opted in at submission to The Lancet family of journals to post their preprints on Preprints with The Lancet. The usual SSRN checks and a Lancet-specific check for appropriateness and transparency have been applied. Preprints available here are not Lancet publications or necessarily under review with a Lancet journal. These preprints are early stage research papers that have not been peer-reviewed. The findings should not be used for clinical or public health decision making and should not be presented to a lay audience without highlighting that they are preliminary and have not been peer-reviewed. For more information on this collaboration, see the comments published in The Lancet about the trial period, and our decision to make this a permanent offering, or visit The Lancet´s FAQ page, and for any feedback please contact preprints@lancet.com.

Comparative Efficacy and Tolerability of Adjuvant Systemic Treatments Against Resectable Colon Cancer: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis

42 Pages Posted: 23 Sep 2019

See all articles by Ji Cheng

Ji Cheng

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery; Harvard University - Department of Pathology

Xiaoming Shuai

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery

Jinbo Gao

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery

Guobin Wang

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery; Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Research Center for Tissue Engineering and Regenerative Medicine

Kaixiong Tao

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery

More...

Abstract

Background: Currently, 6-month FOLFOX and XELOX have been recommended as the preferred adjuvant regimens against high-risk stage 2 and stage 3 colon cancer patients. However, in consideration of growing number of novel regimens as well as disadvantages of pairwise comparisons, we conducted the first network meta-analysis to rank all regimens simultaneously and hierarchically.

Methods: Record retrieval was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, ASCO and ESMO meeting libraries from inception to August 2019. Regarding survival and tolerability, randomized controlled trials comparing different adjuvant systemic regimens against high-risk stage 2 and stage 3 colon cancer were eligible. The Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool was utilized to assess methodological quality. Disease-free survival was primary endpoint, while overall survival and adverse events were secondary endpoints. Network calculation was based on random-effects model and relative ranking of each node was numerically indicated by P-score.

Findings: 29 trials were included, corresponding to 52818 patients. Baseline clinical features were comparable and overall risk of bias was in low level across eligible trials. Regarding disease-free survival, 12-month capecitabine monotherapy topped the hierarchy among overall population and stage 3 subgroup analysis, displaying noninferiority against 6-month XELOX (network HR 0.81 (0.60-1.10); network HR 0.79 (0.57-1.10)) and other 6-month FOLFOX regimens. Concerning overall survival, this difference was even greater, despite failing to reach statistical significance (network HR 0.71 (0.48-1.06)). Moreover, 12-month capecitabine monotherapy was more tolerable than 6-month XELOX in most of adverse events. As for comparisons between 3-month and 6-month XELOX/FOLFOX regimens, 6-month treatment was significantly better than 3-month counterpart in terms of disease-free survival among overall population (network HR 1.09 (1.01-1.18)) and stage 3 cases (network HR 1.09 (1.00-1.19)), while also featured comparable tolerability each other.

Interpretation: Taken together, in terms adjuvant systemic treatment against resectable colon cancer, especially among stage 3 patients, 12-month capecitabine monotherapy is a promising alternative to currently recommended treatment such as 6-month XELOX or FOLFOX regimen. Also, this hints that a large-scale randomized trial between 12-month capecitabine monotherapy and 6-month XELOX or FOLFOX could be arranged in the future, based on global population and with extended lymphadenectomy, to further confirm their relative efficacy and safety among high-risk stage 2 and stage 3 patients simultaneously.

Funding Statement: National Natural Science Foundation of China (81902487); National Natural Science Foundation of China (81874184).

Declaration of Interests: The authors declare no competing interests.

Ethics Approval Statement: This meta-analysis was registered in PROSPERO and was conducted according to Cochrane Handbook 5.1 and PRISMA for Network Meta-analysis.

Keywords: adjuvant treatment; resectable colon cancer; capecitabine; network meta-analysis; systematic review

Suggested Citation

Cheng, Ji and Shuai, Xiaoming and Gao, Jinbo and Wang, Guobin and Tao, Kaixiong, Comparative Efficacy and Tolerability of Adjuvant Systemic Treatments Against Resectable Colon Cancer: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis (09/17/2019 12:55:43). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3457408 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3457408

Ji Cheng (Contact Author)

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery ( email )

1037 Luoyu Rd
Wuhan
China

Harvard University - Department of Pathology

Boston, MA 02115
United States

Xiaoming Shuai

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery

1037 Luoyu Rd
Wuhan
China

Jinbo Gao

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery

1037 Luoyu Rd
Wuhan
China

Guobin Wang

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery ( email )

1037 Luoyu Rd
Wuhan
China

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Research Center for Tissue Engineering and Regenerative Medicine ( email )

China

Kaixiong Tao

Huazhong University of Science and Technology - Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery ( email )

1037 Luoyu Rd
Wuhan
China